businesspress24.com - Methanex Reports Stronger Earnings in the First Quarter of 2013; Increases Dividend 8%
 

Methanex Reports Stronger Earnings in the First Quarter of 2013; Increases Dividend 8%

ID: 1220037

(firmenpresse) - VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA -- (Marketwired) -- 04/24/13 -- For the first quarter of 2013, Methanex (TSX: MX)(NASDAQ: MEOH) reported Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $149 million and Adjusted net income(1) of $88 million ($0.92 per share on a diluted basis(1)). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $119 million and Adjusted net income(1) of $61 million ($0.64 per share on a diluted basis(1)) for the fourth quarter of 2012.

Methanex also announced that its Board of Directors has approved an 8 percent increase to its quarterly dividend to shareholders, from $0.185 to $0.20 per share. The increased dividend will apply commencing with the dividend payable on June 30, 2013 to holders of common shares on record on June 16, 2013.

John Floren, President and CEO of Methanex commented, "Higher methanol prices in the first quarter contributed to higher Adjusted EBITDA compared to last quarter. Entering the second quarter, methanol demand has continued to be healthy and the pricing environment remains stable. With strong earnings, a positive outlook for the methanol industry and the quality of the expansion plans underway, I am pleased to confirm that our Board of Directors has approved another increase to our regular dividend. This represents the ninth increase since we implemented a dividend in 2002."

Mr. Floren added, "We also announced today that we have made the decision to proceed with the relocation of a second one million tonne plant from our Chile site to Geismar, Louisiana. Our focus in the near term remains the successful execution of both plant relocations and our value-creating growth projects in New Zealand and Medicine Hat. Combined, these projects represent three million tonnes of production capacity that are expected to be completed in increments through early 2016."

Mr. Floren concluded, "With over US$700 million of cash on hand, an undrawn credit facility, a robust balance sheet, and strong cash flow generation, we are well positioned to complete our expansion plans, pursue other strategic growth opportunities and continue to deliver on our commitment to return excess cash to shareholders."





A conference call is scheduled for April 25, 2013 at 12:00 noon ET (9:00 am PT) to review these first quarter results. To access the call, dial the Conferencing operator ten minutes prior to the start of the call at (416) 340-8527, or toll free at (877) 240-9772. A playback version of the conference call will be available until June 24, 2013 (905) 694-9451, or toll free at (800) 408-3053. The passcode for the playback version is 3021008. Presentation slides summarizing Q1-13 results and a simultaneous audio-only webcast of the conference call can be accessed from our website at . The webcast will be available on the website for four weeks following the call.

Methanex is a Vancouver-based, publicly traded company and is the world's largest supplier of methanol to major international markets. Methanex shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada under the trading symbol "MX" and on the NASDAQ Global Market in the United States under the trading symbol "MEOH".

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This First Quarter 2013 press release contains forward-looking statements with respect to us and the chemical industry. Refer to Forward-Looking Information Warning in the attached First Quarter 2013 Management's Discussion and Analysis for more information.

Interim Report for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2013

At April 24, 2013 the Company had 94,942,159 common shares issued and outstanding and stock options exercisable for 3,418,808 additional common shares.

Share Information

Methanex Corporation's common shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol MX and on the Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol MEOH.

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Investor Information

All financial reports, news releases and corporate information can be accessed on our website at .

FIRST QUARTER MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

Except where otherwise noted, all currency amounts are stated in United States dollars.

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS



This First Quarter 2013 Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") dated April 24, 2013 for Methanex Corporation ("the Company") should be read in conjunction with the Company's condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the period ended March 31, 2013 as well as the 2012 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements and MD&A included in the Methanex 2012 Annual Report. Unless otherwise indicated, the financial information presented in this interim report is prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). The Methanex 2012 Annual Report and additional information relating to Methanex is available on SEDAR at and on EDGAR at .

Effective January 1, 2013, we adopted new IFRS standards related to consolidation and joint arrangement accounting. Under these new standards, our 63.1% interest in the Atlas entity, which was previously proportionately consolidated in our financial statements, is accounted for using the equity method. This change has been applied retrospectively. As a result, amounts related to Atlas are no longer included in individual line items in our consolidated financial statements and the net assets and net earnings are presented separately. For purposes of analyzing our consolidated financial results in this MD&A, the adjusted EBITDA from our 63.1% interest in the Atlas entity is included in Adjusted EBITDA.

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL DATA

PRODUCTION SUMMARY

New Zealand

Our New Zealand methanol facilities produced 309,000 tonnes of methanol in the first quarter of 2013 compared with 378,000 tonnes in the fourth quarter of 2012. During the first quarter of 2013, the Motunui facilities suffered an equipment failure which resulted in an unplanned outage and lost production of approximately 60,000 tonnes. The equipment was repaired and the Motunui facilities returned to operation at the end of March 2013. We are in the process of refurbishing the Waitara Valley facility and debottlenecking the Motunui facilities which we expect will allow us to produce at the site's full annual production capacity of up to 2.4 million tonnes, depending on natural gas composition, by the end of 2013.

Trinidad

In Trinidad, we own 100% of the Titan facility with an annual production capacity of 875,000 tonnes and have a 63.1% interest in the Atlas facility with an annual production capacity of 1,125,000 tonnes (63.1% interest). The Titan facility produced 181,000 tonnes in the first quarter of 2013 compared with 189,000 tonnes in the fourth quarter of 2012. Production in the first quarter of 2013 was impacted by periodic natural gas curtailments and minor unplanned outages.

The Atlas facility produced 248,000 tonnes in the first quarter of 2013 compared with 180,000 tonnes in the fourth quarter of 2012. The Atlas facility was shut down at the end of September 2012 for repairs and returned to production at the end of October 2012.

We continue to experience some natural gas curtailments to our Trinidad facilities due to a mismatch between upstream commitments to supply the Natural Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago (NGC) and downstream demand from NGC's customers, which becomes apparent when an upstream supplier has a technical issue or planned maintenance that reduces gas delivery. We are engaged with key stakeholders to find a solution to this issue, but in the meantime expect to continue to experience some gas curtailments to the Trinidad site.

Egypt

The Egypt methanol facility produced 133,000 tonnes (60% interest) in the first quarter of 2013 compared with 129,000 tonnes in the fourth quarter of 2012. Production during the first quarter of 2013 and the fourth quarter of 2012 was impacted by natural gas supply restrictions.

The Egypt facility has experienced periodic natural gas supply restrictions since mid-2012 which have resulted in production below full capacity. This situation may persist in the future and become more acute during the summer months when electricity demand is at its peak. Refer to page 25 of our 2012 Annual Report for further details.

Medicine Hat, Canada

Our 470,000 tonne per year facility in Medicine Hat, Alberta produced 131,000 tonnes in the first quarter of 2013 compared with 132,000 tonnes during the fourth quarter of 2012. The Medicine Hat facility is currently able to produce above stated production capacity due to the age of its catalyst and the composition of the natural gas feedstock. We are currently debottlenecking the Medicine Hat facility which we expect will add a further 90,000 tonnes of annual production capacity by the end of the third quarter of 2013.

Chile

During the first quarter of 2013 we produced 55,000 tonnes in Chile operating one plant at approximately 20% of production capacity. In addition, in March 2013, we began receiving natural gas from Argentina under an arrangement whereby we process the natural gas received and return the methanol produced to Argentina. We produced an additional 6,000 tonnes under this arrangement during the first quarter of 2013 and have continued receiving some natural gas from Argentina in April 2013.

While investments have been made by us and others to accelerate the exploration and development of natural gas in southern Chile, the potential for a significant increase in gas production is more challenging than we had originally anticipated. As a result of the short-term outlook for gas supply in Chile and Argentina, we anticipate idling our Chile operations shortly due to insufficient natural gas feedstock to keep our plant operating through the southern hemisphere winter. We are continuing to work with Empresa Nacional del Petroleo (ENAP) and others to secure sufficient natural gas to sustain our operations and while the restart of a Chile plant is possible later in 2013, the restart is dependent on securing a sustainable natural gas position to operate over the medium term.

The future of our Chile operations is primarily dependent on the level of exploration and development in southern Chile and our ability to secure a sustainable natural gas supply to our facilities on economic terms from Chile and Argentina.

Geismar, Louisiana

We are in the process of relocating the idle Chile II facility to Geismar, Louisiana (Geismar I). The 1.0 million tonne Geismar I facility is expected to be operational by the end of 2014. During the first quarter of 2013 we spent $43 million on this project and remaining expenditures at March 31, 2013 are estimated to be $420 million.

We announced today that we have made a final investment decision to proceed with the relocation of the Chile III facility to the Geismar site (Geismar II). We expect the 1.0 million tonne Geismar II plant to be operational in early 2016. Estimated project costs are $550 million.

FINANCIAL RESULTS

For the first quarter of 2013 we recorded Adjusted EBITDA of $149 million and Adjusted net income of $88 million ($0.92 per share on a diluted basis). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA of $119 million and Adjusted net income of $61 million ($0.64 per share on a diluted basis) for the fourth quarter of 2012.

For the first quarter of 2013, we reported net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $60 million ($0.63 per share on a diluted basis) compared with a net loss attributable to Methanex shareholders for the fourth quarter of 2012 of $140 million ($1.49 loss per share on a diluted basis). Our results for the fourth quarter of 2012 were impacted by a non-cash before-tax asset impairment charge of $297 million related to the carrying value of our Chile assets.

Effective January 1, 2013, we adopted new IFRS standards related to consolidation and joint arrangement accounting. Under these new standards, our 63.1% interest in the Atlas entity, which was previously proportionately consolidated in our financial statements, is accounted for using the equity method. This change has been applied retrospectively. As a result, amounts related to Atlas are no longer included in individual line items in our consolidated financial statements and the net assets and net earnings are presented separately. For purposes of analyzing our consolidated financial results in this MD&A, the adjusted EBITDA from our 63.1% interest in the Atlas entity is included in Adjusted EBITDA. Our analysis of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income taxes is consistent with the presentation of our consolidated statements of income and excludes amounts related to Atlas.

We calculate Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income by including amounts related to our equity share of the Atlas (63.1% interest) and Egypt (60% interest) facilities and by excluding the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price and items which are considered by management to be non-operational. Refer to the Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures section for a further discussion on how we calculate these measures.

A reconciliation from net income (loss) attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share is as follows:

We review our financial results by analyzing changes in Adjusted EBITDA, mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income taxes. A summary of our consolidated statements of income is as follows:

Adjusted EBITDA (Attributable to Methanex Shareholders)

Our operations consist of a single operating segment - the production and sale of methanol. We review the results of operations by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA. For a discussion of the definitions used in our Adjusted EBITDA analysis, refer to the How We Analyze Our Business section.

The changes in Adjusted EBITDA resulted from changes in the following:

Average realized price

Methanol market conditions remained healthy and pricing increased during the first quarter of 2013 (refer to the Supply/Demand Fundamentals section for more information). Our average non-discounted posted price for the first quarter of 2013 was $474 per tonne compared with $450 per tonne for the fourth quarter of 2012 and $437 per tonne for the first quarter of 2012. Our average realized price for the first quarter of 2013 was $412 per tonne compared with $389 per tonne for the fourth quarter of 2012 and $382 per tonne for the first quarter of 2012. The change in average realized price for the first quarter of 2013 increased Adjusted EBITDA by $36 million compared with the fourth quarter of 2012 and increased Adjusted EBITDA by $49 million compared with the first quarter of 2012.

Sales volume

Methanol sales volumes excluding commission sales volumes were lower in the first quarter of 2013 compared with the fourth quarter of 2012 by 111,000 tonnes and this resulted in lower Adjusted EBITDA by $10 million.

Total cash costs

The primary drivers of changes in our total cash costs are changes in the cost of methanol we produce at our facilities (Methanex-produced methanol) and changes in the cost of methanol we purchase from others (purchased methanol). All of our production facilities except Medicine Hat are underpinned by natural gas purchase agreements with pricing terms that include base and variable price components. We supplement our production with methanol produced by others through methanol offtake contracts and purchases on the spot market to meet customer needs and support our marketing efforts within the major global markets.

We have adopted the first-in, first-out method of accounting for inventories and it generally takes between 30 and 60 days to sell the methanol we produce or purchase. Accordingly, the changes in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in Methanex-produced and purchased methanol costs primarily depend on changes in methanol pricing and the timing of inventory flows.

The impact on Adjusted EBITDA from changes in our cash costs are explained below:

Methanex-produced methanol costs

We purchase natural gas for the New Zealand, Trinidad, Egypt and Chile methanol facilities under natural gas purchase agreements where the unique terms of each contract include a base price and a variable price component linked to the price of methanol to reduce our commodity price risk exposure. The variable price component of each gas contract is adjusted by a formula related to methanol prices above a certain level. For the first quarter of 2013 compared with the same period in 2012, Methanex-produced methanol costs were higher by $9 million primarily due to a change in the mix of production sold from inventory.

Insurance recovery

We experienced an equipment failure at our Atlas facility in July 2011. Our operations are covered by business interruption insurance and we finalized our claim and recorded a recovery of $9 million in the fourth quarter of 2012.

Proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales

The cost of purchased methanol is directly linked to the selling price for methanol at the time of purchase and the cost of purchased methanol is generally higher than the cost of Methanex-produced methanol. Accordingly, an increase in the proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales results in a decrease in our overall cost structure for a given period. For the first quarter of 2013 compared with the fourth quarter of 2012 and the first quarter of 2012, Methanex-produced methanol sales made up a higher proportion of our total sales and this increased Adjusted EBITDA by $5 million and $17 million, respectively.

Purchased methanol costs

Changes in purchased methanol costs for all periods presented are primarily as a result of changes in methanol pricing.

Logistics costs

Logistics costs vary from period to period depending on the levels of production from each of our production facilities and the resulting impact on our supply chain. Logistics costs were $12 million lower in the first quarter of 2013 compared with each of the fourth quarter of 2012 and the first quarter of 2012. As a result of improvements in our asset portfolio over the past year, we have recently completed several initiatives that have reduced logistics costs and improved the efficiency of our supply chain.

Other, net

In October 2012, we completed a restructuring of our Chile operations which reduced the size of our workforce and resulted in a $5 million charge in the fourth quarter of 2012. During the first quarter of 2012, we incurred a one-time $7 million charge to earnings to terminate a time charter vessel lease contract.

Mark-to-Market Impact of Share-based Compensation

We grant share-based awards as an element of compensation. Share-based awards granted include stock options, share appreciation rights, tandem share appreciation rights, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. For all the share-based awards, share-based compensation is recognized over the related vesting period for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. Share-based compensation includes an amount related to the grant-date value and a mark-to-market impact as a result of subsequent changes in the Company's share price. The grant-date value amount is included in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income. The mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income and analyzed separately.

The Methanex Corporation share price increased from $31.87 per share at December 31, 2012 to $40.63 per share at March 31, 2013. As a result of the increase in the share price and the impact on the fair value of the outstanding units, we recorded a $31 million mark-to-market expense on share-based compensation in the first quarter of 2013 compared with an $8 million mark-to-market expense in the fourth quarter of 2012 and an $18 million expense in the first quarter of 2012.

Depreciation and Amortization

Depreciation and amortization was $30 million for the first quarter of 2013 compared with $35 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 and $36 million for the first quarter of 2012. Depreciation and amortization was lower in the first quarter of 2013 compared with the fourth quarter of 2012 and the first quarter of 2012 primarily as a result of the lower carrying value of our Chile assets due to the asset impairment charge recorded in the fourth quarter of 2012.

Finance Costs

Finance costs before capitalized interest primarily relate to interest expense on the unsecured notes and limited recourse debt facilities. Capitalized interest relates to interest costs capitalized for the Geismar I project.

Finance Income and Other Expenses

The change in finance income and other expenses for all periods presented was primarily due to the impact of changes in foreign exchange rates.

Income Taxes

A summary of our income taxes for the first quarter of 2013 compared with the fourth quarter of 2012 is as follows:

For the first quarter of 2013, the effective tax rate was 15% compared with 16% for the fourth quarter of 2012, excluding the impact of the asset impairment charge recorded in 2012.

We earn the majority of our pre-tax earnings in Trinidad, Egypt, Chile, Canada and New Zealand. In Trinidad and Chile, the statutory tax rate is 35% and in Egypt, the statutory tax rate is 25%. We have significant loss carryforwards in Canada and New Zealand which have not been recognized for accounting purposes and this had an impact on the effective tax rate for the first quarter of 2013 of approximately 10%.

SUPPLY/DEMAND FUNDAMENTALS

We estimate that methanol demand, excluding methanol demand from integrated methanol to olefins facilities, is currently approximately 53 million tonnes on an annualized basis.

The outlook for methanol demand growth continues to be strong. Traditional chemical derivatives consume about two-thirds of global methanol demand and growth is correlated to industrial production.

Energy-related applications consume the remaining one third of global methanol demand, and the wide disparity between the price of crude oil and that of natural gas and coal has resulted in an increased use of methanol in energy-related applications, such as direct methanol blending into gasoline and DME and biodiesel production. Growth of direct methanol blending into gasoline in China has been particularly strong and we believe that future growth in this application is supported by numerous provincial and national fuel-blending standards, such as M15 or M85 (15% methanol and 85% methanol, respectively).

China is also leading the commercialization of methanol's use as a feedstock to manufacture olefins. The use of methanol to produce olefins, at current energy prices, is proving to be cost competitive relative to the traditional production of olefins from naphtha. There are now five methanol-to-olefins (MTO) plants operating in China with the capacity to consume approximately seven million tonnes of methanol annually. While three of these plants are integrated and purchase methanol only to supplement their production, two of these plants are dependent on merchant methanol supply. We believe demand potential into energy-related applications and olefins production will continue to grow.

During the first quarter of 2013, steady demand and planned and unplanned industry outages contributed to upward pressure on pricing in Europe and North America, while pricing in Asia was relatively stable. Our average non-discounted price in the first quarter was $474 per tonne. Entering the second quarter, market conditions remain healthy and prices are stable. Our European non-discounted price for the second quarter of 2013 increased to EUR390 per tonne ($505 per tonne).

Over the next few years, there is a modest level of new capacity expected to come on-stream relative to demand growth expectations. There is a 0.8 million tonne plant expected to restart in Channelview, Texas in 2013 and a 0.7 million tonne plant expected to start up in Azerbaijan in 2013. We are in the process of refurbishing the Waitara Valley facility and debottlenecking our Motunui facilities in New Zealand and these initiatives are expected to add up to 0.9 million tonnes of additional operating capacity by the end of 2013. We are relocating two idle Chile facilities to Geismar, Louisiana with the first 1.0 million tonne facility expected to start up by the end of 2014 and the second 1.0 million tonne facility expected to start up in early 2016. We expect that production from new capacity in China will be consumed in that country and that higher cost production capacity in China will need to operate in order to satisfy demand growth.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Cash flows from operating activities

Cash flows from operating activities in the first quarter of 2013 were $118 million compared with $76 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 and $74 million for the first quarter of 2012. The changes in cash flows from operating activities resulted from changes in the following:

Adjusted cash flows from operating activities

Adjusted cash flows from operating activities, which includes an amount representing the cash flows associated with our 63.1% share of the Atlas facility and excludes the amount associated with the 40% non-controlling interest in the methanol facility in Egypt and changes in non-cash working capital, were $127 million in the first quarter of 2013 compared with $101 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 and $89 million for the first quarter of 2012. The changes in Adjusted cash flows from operating activities resulted from changes in the following:

Refer to the Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures section for a reconciliation of Adjusted cash flows from operating activities to the most comparable GAAP measure.

During the first quarter of 2013, we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.185 per share, or $18 million. Additionally, on April 24, 2013, the Board of Directors approved an 8 percent increase to our quarterly dividend to shareholders, from $0.185 to $0.20 per share. The increased dividend will apply commencing with the dividend payable June 30, 2013 to holders of common shares of record on June 16, 2013.

We operate in a highly competitive commodity industry and believe it is appropriate to maintain a conservative balance sheet and retain financial flexibility. At March 31, 2013, our cash balance was $727 million, including $25 million related to the non-controlling interest in Egypt. We invest our cash only in highly rated instruments that have maturities of three months or less to ensure preservation of capital and appropriate liquidity. We have a strong balance sheet and an undrawn $400 million credit facility provided by highly rated financial institutions that expires in mid-2016.

Our planned capital maintenance expenditure program directed towards maintenance, turnarounds and catalyst changes for existing operations is currently estimated to total approximately $50 million to the end of 2013, excluding the New Zealand operations. We are making good progress with our project to relocate the Chile II facility to Geismar, Louisiana with plant start-up expected by the end of 2014. During the first quarter of 2013, we spent $43 million on the project and the remaining project expenditures are approximately $420 million. We are also making good progress with our initiatives to increase production capacity in Medicine Hat and New Zealand. Remaining capital expenditures for these projects to the end of 2013 is approximately $230 million. We have also committed to relocate a second idle Chile facility to the Geismar site with estimated project costs of $550 million. The second Geismar facility is expected to commence operations in early 2016. We believe that we have the financial capacity to fund these growth initiatives with cash on hand, cash generated from operations and the undrawn bank facility.

We believe we are well positioned to meet our financial commitments, invest to grow the Company and continue to deliver on our commitment to return excess cash to shareholders.

SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK

Entering the second quarter, market conditions remain healthy and prices are stable.

The methanol price will ultimately depend on the strength of the global economy, industry operating rates, global energy prices, new supply additions and the strength of global demand. We believe that our financial position and financial flexibility, outstanding global supply network and competitive-cost position will provide a sound basis for Methanex to continue to be the leader in the methanol industry and to invest to grow the Company.

CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

For the three months ended March 31, 2013, no changes were made in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION - SUPPLEMENTAL NON-GAAP MEASURES

In addition to providing measures prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), we present certain supplemental non-GAAP measures. These are Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income, Adjusted net income per common share, operating income and Adjusted cash flows from operating activities. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These supplemental non-GAAP measures are provided to assist readers in determining our ability to generate cash from operations and improve the comparability of our results from one period to another. We believe these measures are useful in assessing operating performance and liquidity of the Company's ongoing business on an overall basis. We also believe Adjusted EBITDA is frequently used by securities analysts and investors when comparing our results with those of other companies.

Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders)

Adjusted EBITDA differs from the most comparable GAAP measure, net income attributable to Methanex shareholders, because it excludes depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses, income tax expense (recovery), mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation and asset impairment charges. Adjusted EBITDA includes an amount representing our 63.1% interest in the Atlas facility and our 60% interest in the methanol facility in Egypt.

Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation related to the impact of changes in our share price on share appreciation rights, tandem share appreciation rights, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. The mark-to-market impact related to performance share units that is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income is calculated as the difference between the grant date value determined using a Methanex total shareholder return factor of 100% and the fair value recorded at each period end. As share-based awards will be settled in future periods, the ultimate value of the units is unknown at the date of grant and therefore the grant date value recognized in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income may differ from the total settlement cost.

The following table shows a reconciliation from net income (loss) attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted EBITDA:

Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per Common Share

Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share are non-GAAP measures because they exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation and items that are considered by management to be non-operational, including asset impairment charges. The following table shows a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share:

Adjusted Cash Flows from Operating Activities (attributable to Methanex shareholders)

Adjusted cash flows from operating activities differs from the most comparable GAAP measure, cash flows from operating activities, because it includes cash flows associated with our 63.1% equity share of the Atlas facility and does not include cash flows associated with the 40% non-controlling interest in the methanol facility in Egypt or changes in non-cash working capital.

The following table shows a reconciliation of cash flows from operating activities to adjusted cash flows from operating activities:

Operating Income

Operating income is reconciled directly to a GAAP measure in our consolidated statements of income.

QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (UNAUDITED)

A summary of selected financial information for the prior eight quarters is as follows:

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This First Quarter 2013 Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as well as comments made during the First Quarter 2013 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "potential," "estimates," "anticipates," "aim," "goal" or other comparable terminology and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

More particularly and without limitation, any statements regarding the following are forward-looking statements:

We believe that we have a reasonable basis for making such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based on our experience, our perception of trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts or projections that are included in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, future expectations and assumptions concerning the following:

However, forward-looking statements, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties primarily include those attendant with producing and marketing methanol and successfully carrying out major capital expenditure projects in various jurisdictions, including, without limitation:

Having in mind these and other factors, investors and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. They are not a substitute for the exercise of one's own due diligence and judgment. The outcomes anticipated in forward-looking statements may not occur and we do not undertake to update forward-looking statements except as required by applicable securities laws.

HOW WE ANALYZE OUR BUSINESS

Our operations consist of a single operating segment - the production and sale of methanol. We review our results of operations by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA (refer to the Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures section for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures).

In addition to the methanol that we produce at our facilities ("Methanex-produced methanol"), we also purchase and re-sell methanol produced by others ("purchased methanol") and we sell methanol on a commission basis. We analyze the results of all methanol sales together, excluding commission sales volumes. The key drivers of change in Adjusted EBITDA are average realized price, cash costs and sales volume which are defined and calculated as follows:

PRICE

The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in average realized price is calculated as the difference from period to period in the selling price of methanol multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume plus the difference from period to period in commission revenue.

CASH COST

The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs is calculated as the difference from period to period in cash costs per tonne multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume in the current period. The cash costs per tonne is the weighted average of the cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and the cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol. The cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol includes absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol consists principally of the cost of methanol itself. In addition, the change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs includes the changes from period to period in unabsorbed fixed production costs, consolidated selling, general and administrative expenses and fixed storage and handling costs.

VOLUME

The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in sales volume is calculated as the difference from period to period in total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volumes multiplied by the margin per tonne for the prior period. The margin per tonne for the prior period is the weighted average margin per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and margin per tonne of purchased methanol. The margin per tonne for Methanex-produced methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The margin per tonne for purchased methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less the cost of purchased methanol per tonne.

We own 63.1% of the Atlas methanol facility and market the remaining 36.9% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. A contractual agreement between us and our partners establishes joint control over Atlas. As a result, we account for this investment using the equity method of accounting, which results in 63.1% of the net assets and net earnings of Atlas being presented separately in the consolidated statements of financial position and consolidated statements of income, respectively. For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted cash flows from operating activities include an amount representing our 63.1% equity share in Atlas.

We own 60% of the 1.26 million tonne per year Egypt methanol facility and market the remaining 40% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. We account for this investment using consolidation accounting, which results in 100% of the revenues and expenses being included in our financial statements with the other investors' interests in the methanol facility being presented as "non-controlling interests". For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted cash flows from operating activities exclude the amount associated with the other investors' 40% non-controlling interests.

Methanex Corporation

Notes to Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements (unaudited)

Except where otherwise noted, tabular dollar amounts are stated in thousands of U.S. dollars.

1. Basis of presentation:

Methanex Corporation (the Company) is an incorporated entity with corporate offices in Vancouver, Canada. The Company's operations consist of the production and sale of methanol, a commodity chemical. The Company is the world's largest supplier of methanol to major international markets in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and Latin America.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements are prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standards (IAS) 34, Interim Financial Reporting, as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) on a basis consistent with those followed in the most recent annual consolidated financial statements, except as described in note 11 below. As described in note 11, the Company has adopted new IFRS standards effective January 1, 2013 with retrospective application and as a result the comparative periods have been restated.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements do not include all of the information required for full annual financial statements and were approved and authorized for issue by the Audit, Finance & Risk Committee of the Board of Directors on April 24, 2013.

2. Inventories:

Inventories are valued at the lower of cost, determined on a first-in first-out basis, and estimated net realizable value. The amount of inventories included in cost of sales and operating expenses and depreciation and amortization for the three months ended March 31, 2013 is $469 million (2012 - $495 million).

3. Property, plant and equipment:

The Company is in the process of relocating an idle Chile facility to Geismar, Louisiana. During the three months ended March 31, 2013, the Company incurred $43 million in relation to this project under construction, excluding capitalized interest. Remaining capital costs to complete the project are estimated to be $420 million, excluding capitalized interest.

In April 2013, the Company made a final investment decision to relocate a second idle Chile facility to Geismar, Louisiana. The Company estimates total project costs, excluding capitalized interest, of $550 million with plant start-up expected in early 2016.

4. Investment in Atlas methanol facility:

a) The Company has a 63.1% equity interest in Atlas Methanol Company Unlimited (Atlas). Atlas owns a 1.8 million tonne per year methanol production facility in Trinidad. Effective January 1, 2013, the Company accounts for its interest in Atlas using the equity method (refer to note 11). Summarized financial information of Atlas (100% basis) is as follows:

b) Contingent liability:

The Board of Inland Revenue of Trinidad and Tobago has issued assessments against Atlas in respect of the 2005 and 2006 financial years. All subsequent tax years remain open to assessment. The assessments relate to the pricing arrangements of certain long-term fixed price sales contracts that extend to 2014 and 2019 related to methanol produced by Atlas. The impact of the amounts in dispute for the 2005 and 2006 financial years is not significant. Atlas has partial relief from corporation income tax until 2014.

The Company has lodged objections to the assessments. Based on the merits of the cases and legal interpretation, management believes its position should be sustained.

5. Long-term debt:

During the three months ended March 31, 2013, the Company made repayments on its Egypt limited recourse debt facilities of $18.3 million. During the three months ended March 31, 2013, the Company issued $10.0 million of other limited recourse debt.

The Egypt limited recourse debt facilities are described as limited recourse as they are secured only by the assets of the Egypt entity. Accordingly, the lenders to the limited recourse debt facilities have no recourse to the Company or its other subsidiaries. The Egypt limited recourse debt facilities have customary covenants and default provisions that apply only to the Egypt entity, including restrictions on the incurrence of additional indebtedness, a requirement to fulfill certain conditions before the payment of cash or other distributions and a restriction on these distributions if there is a default subsisting. The Egypt limited recourse debt facilities also contain a covenant to complete certain land title registrations and related mortgages that require action by Egyptian government entities. Under the terms of a waiver received from the lenders in March 2013, the Company is required to complete the covenant by March 31, 2014. The Company does not believe that the finalization of these items is material to the security provided to the lenders.

At March 31, 2013, management believes the Company was in compliance with all of the covenants and default provisions related to long-term debt obligations.

6. Finance costs:

Finance costs are primarily comprised of interest on borrowings and finance lease obligations, the effective portion of interest rate swaps designated as cash flow hedges, amortization of deferred financing fees, and accretion expense associated with site restoration costs. Interest during construction is capitalized until the plant is substantially completed and ready for productive use.

The Company has interest rate swap contracts on its Egypt limited recourse debt facilities to swap the LIBOR-based interest payments for an average aggregated fixed rate of 4.8% plus a spread on approximately 75% of the Egypt limited recourse debt facilities for the period to March 31, 2015.

7. Net income per common share:

Diluted net income per common share is calculated by considering the potential dilution that would occur if outstanding stock options and, under certain circumstances, tandem share appreciation rights (TSARs) were exercised or converted to common shares.

Outstanding TSARs may be settled in cash or common shares at the holder's option and for purposes of calculating diluted net income per common share, the more dilutive of the cash-settled and equity-settled method is used, regardless of how the plan is accounted for. Accordingly, TSARs that are accounted for using the cash-settled method will require adjustments to the numerator and denominator if the equity-settled method is determined to have a dilutive effect on diluted net income per common share.

Stock options and TSARs, if calculated using the equity-settled method, are considered dilutive when the average market price of the Company's common shares during the period disclosed exceeds the exercise price of the stock option or TSAR. A reconciliation of the number of common shares used for the purposes of calculating basic and diluted net income per common share is as follows:

8. Share-based compensation:

a) Share appreciation rights (SARs), tandem share appreciation rights (TSARs) and stock options:

(i) Outstanding units:

Information regarding units outstanding at March 31, 2013 is as follows:

(ii) Compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs:

Compensation expense for SARs and TSARs is measured based on their fair value and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value each period are recognized in net income for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value at March 31, 2013 was $43.0 million compared with the recorded liability of $32.0 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $11.0 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 2.0 years. The weighted average fair value of the vested SARs and TSARs was estimated at March 31, 2013 using the Black-Scholes option pricing model.

For the three months ended March 31, 2013, compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs included an expense in cost of sales and operating expenses of $17.0 million (2012 - $10.7 million). This included an expense of $15.0 million (2012 - expense of $7.8 million) related to the effect of the change in the Company's share price for the three months ended March 31, 2013.

(iii) Compensation expense related to stock options:

For the three months ended March 31, 2013, compensation expense related to stock options included in cost of sales and operating expenses was $0.2 million (2012 - $0.2 million). The fair value of each stock option grant was estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model.

b) Deferred, restricted and performance share units:

Deferred, restricted and performance share units outstanding at March 31, 2013 are as follows:

Compensation expense for deferred, restricted and performance share units is measured at fair value based on the market value of the Company's common shares and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value are recognized in earnings for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value of deferred, restricted and performance share units at March 31, 2013 was $65.4 million compared with the recorded liability of $48.5 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $16.9 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 2.1 years.

For the three months ended March 31, 2013, compensation expense related to deferred, restricted and performance share units included in cost of sales and operating expenses was an expense of $19.1 million (2012 -$14.1 million). This included an expense of $15.7 million (2012 - expense of $10.3 million) related to the effect of the change in the Company's share price for the three months ended March 31, 2013.

9. Changes in non-cash working capital:

Changes in non-cash working capital for the three months ended March 31, 2013 were as follows:

10. Financial instruments:

Financial instruments are either measured at amortized cost or fair value. Held-to-maturity investments, loans and receivables and other financial liabilities are measured at amortized cost. Held-for-trading financial assets and liabilities and available-for-sale financial assets are measured on the Consolidated Statement of Financial Position at fair value. Derivative financial instruments are classified as held-for-trading and are recorded on the Consolidated Statement of Financial Position at fair value unless exempted. Changes in fair value of held-for-trading derivative financial instruments are recorded in earnings unless the instruments are designated as cash flow hedges.

The euro hedges and the Egypt interest rate swaps designated as cash flow hedges are measured at fair value based on industry-accepted valuation models and inputs obtained from active markets.

The Egypt limited recourse debt facilities bear interest at LIBOR plus a spread. The Company has interest rate swap contracts to swap the LIBOR-based interest payments for an average aggregated fixed rate of 4.8% plus a spread on approximately 75% of the Egypt limited recourse debt facilities for the period to March 31, 2015. The Company has designated these interest rate swaps as cash flow hedges. These interest rate swaps had an outstanding notional amount of $329 million as at March 31, 2013. The notional amount decreases over the expected repayment period. At March 31, 2013, these interest rate swap contracts had a negative fair value of $25.9 million (2012 - $32.7 million) recorded in other long-term liabilities. The fair value of these interest rate swap contracts will fluctuate until maturity.

The Company also designates as cash flow hedges forward exchange contracts to sell euro at a fixed USD exchange rate. At March 31, 2013, the Company had outstanding forward exchange contracts designated as cash flow hedges to sell a notional amount of EUR17.2 million in exchange for US dollars and these euro contracts had a positive fair value of $0.8 million (2012 - negative fair value of $0.2 million) recorded in other assets. Changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges have been recorded in other comprehensive income.

The carrying values of the Company's financial instruments approximate their fair values, except as follows:

There is no publicly traded market for the limited recourse debt facilities, the fair value of which is estimated by reference to current market prices for debt securities with similar terms and characteristics. The fair value of the unsecured notes was calculated by reference to a limited number of small transactions in March 2013. The fair value of the Company's unsecured notes will fluctuate until maturity.

11. Adoption of New Accounting Standards:

a) Effective January 1, 2013, the Company has adopted the following new IASB accounting standards related to consolidation and joint arrangements: IFRS 10, Consolidated Financial Statements; IFRS 11, Joint Arrangements; and IFRS 12, Disclosure of Interests in Other Entities.

As a result of the adoption of these new standards, the Company's 63.1% interest in the Atlas entity is accounted for using the equity method. The Company has restated its Consolidated Statement of Financial Position as at January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2012 and its Consolidated Statement of Income and Comprehensive Income for the three months ended March 31, 2012. Reconciliations of the restatements of the Consolidated Statement of Financial Position as at December 31, 2012 and Consolidated Statement of Income and Comprehensive Income for the three months ended March 31, 2012 are as follows:



b) Effective January 1, 2013, the Company adopted IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurements. As a result of this new standard, incremental disclosures have been provided in note 10 to these condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

c) Effective January 1, 2013, the Company adopted the revised IFRS 19, Employee Benefits. The adoption of this standard has not had a significant impact on the Company.

d) Effective January 1, 2013, the Company adopted the revised IAS, Presentation of Financial Statements. The adoption of this standard has resulted is a change to the presentation of the Company's Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income.

12. Subsequent Event:

In a prior period, the Company made a commitment to fund 50% of the cost of certain exploratory hydrocarbon wells in New Zealand. As at March 31, 2013, the Company had incurred approximately $15 million of costs related to this arrangement which were recorded on the Consolidated Statement of Financial Position as oil and gas properties in Other Assets. The Company has no future commitments under these arrangements. In April 2013 the operator of the drilling program announced their intention to abandon one of the wells. At the date of this report the Company has not had the opportunity to analyze the operator's data from the drilling program. During the second quarter of 2013, the Company will evaluate whether an event has occurred which would require a re-assessment of the carrying value of the investment.





Contacts:
Sandra Daycock
Director, Investor Relations
Methanex Corporation
604 661 2600 or Toll-Free: 1 800 661 8851


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